Knorr-Bremse follows the recommendations of the Task Force on Climate-related Financial Disclosures (TCFD) and the amendments to established reporting standards regarding the publication of climate-related risks and opportunities. In the CDP Climate Change Request 2022, Knorr-Bremse reports key indicators, risks and opportunities, as well as strategies for managing climate-related topics. Additionally, a cross-functional working group was established in 2021 to develop measures for the implementation of the TCFD recommendations. The focus in this regard was on identifying relevant risks and opportunities along the value chain and on integrating these topics into risk management. In 2022, information relevant to the taxonomy was added to the TCFD reference table. The following table describes the results according to the TCFD recommendations.
Sustainable Development Goal (SDG) 13 of the United Nations is ascribed a high level of priority at Knorr-Bremse and is operationalized by the Knorr-Bremse Climate Strategy 2030, which was approved in 2019 by the Executive Board. The Executive Board monitors implementation of the climate strategy and approves comprehensive investments to this end. Climate-related topics were on the agenda of the Executive Board several times in 2022.
The Knorr-Bremse Supervisory Board serves in a monitoring capacity for the sustainability and climate strategy as well as the implementation thereof. In 2022, the work of the Supervisory Board focused on the critical appraisal of the new Knorr-Bremse remuneration system, including climate-related aspects, and the expansion of the climate targets in line with the requirements of the Science Based Targets initiative, including Scope 3 targets. Furthermore, the Supervisory Board regularly dealt with the Knorr-Bremse Risk Report in detail, at least once a year as well as on an ad hoc basis.
The new remuneration system for management levels 0–2 (Executive Board, senior management, regional managing directors and heads of division) sets incentives for achieving our sustainability targets. Implemented for the first time in the 2022 fiscal year, 20% of the short-term variable remuneration (short-term incentive) is now linked to the achievement of sustainability targets, including performance indicators in connection with the climate strategy.
The company’s senior management is involved in the system for managing risks and opportunities. An essential component of regular risk reporting is a summary Group risk report. This is discussed and adopted in the Risk Committee. The participants in the Risk Committee are the heads of finance with regional responsibility, the heads of other governance functions and the global quality managers. The Group risk report is then presented to the Knorr-Bremse Group’s Executive Board at quarterly intervals and explained and discussed at the relevant Executive Board meeting. The Sustainability department is responsible for the further development and coordination of the climate strategy, as well as for integrating climate-related risk and opportunity management into the existing risk processes. The Sustainability department regularly reports directly to the CFO and to the ESG board.
The ESG Board is the key body that discusses and defines the sustainability and climate strategy at Knorr-Bremse. It comprises two members of the Executive Board, a representative of the senior management from each of the two divisions and of each of Knorr-Bremse’s Americas and Asia-Pacific regions, the Chair of Knorr-Bremse Global Care e. V. and the Head of the Sustainability department.
In autumn 2021, a cross-functional working group was established to implement the TCFD recommendations. The working group is made up of representatives from the Strategy, Risk Management, Procurement, Production and Sustainability departments, as well as representatives of the America and Asia-Pacific regions. In particular, the working group dealt with a TCFD gap analysis and a qualitative scenario analysis.
In its planning, Knorr-Bremse defines short-term (0–1 years), medium-term (1–3 years) and long-term (3–5 years) timelines. Additionally, in autumn 2021, Knorr-Bremse carried out a comprehensive qualitative scenario analysis for the years 2030 and 2050.
The findings of the analysis supplement the regular risk management approach. The analysis focused on climate-related risks and opportunities along the value chain, both upstream and downstream, on the basis of the two following scenarios:
The net-zero-emissions (NZE) scenario for 2050 of the International Energy Agency (IEA) was primarily chosen to represent the transition risks resulting from a 1.5°C global warming scenario. The RCP 6.0 scenario of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) was primarily chosen to represent the physical risks resulting from a 2.7°C global warming scenario. Knorr-Bremse’s selection of scenarios is therefore in accordance with the current and expected external requirements of the TCFD and the Corporate Sustainability Reporting Directive (CSRD). Additionally, the transition risk scenario is in accordance with Knorr-Bremse’s ambition to contribute to the limitation of global warming to 1.5°C through its own climate strategy. As part of the analysis, a distinction is made between the RVS and CVS divisions. The analysis focuses on material business activities in the supply chain, in the company’s own operations and in the customer markets in order to identify risks and opportunities that arise from the scenarios and that have the potential to have a significant financial effect for Knorr-Bremse.
The following tables summarize the relevant types of identified risks and opportunities as well as their financial effects for Knorr-Bremse:
Relevant types of climate-related risks and opportunities for the RVS and CVS divisions of Knorr-Bremse
Potential financial impacts for the RVS and CVS divisions of Knorr-Bremse
Relevant types of climate-related risks and opportunities for the RVS and CVS divisions of Knorr-Bremse
Supply chain: Policy, technology and market risks (RVS and CVS divisions)
Prices for energy-intensive materials such as steel and aluminum are expected to increase by 2030 due to carbon pricing and due to higher costs for the low-carbon production of technologies (e.g., “green steel” production using electric arc furnaces/direct reduction with hydrogen).
Over the long term, the significance of this development will decrease by 2050 due to technological advances in material production. The procurement of critical resources – especially with regard to decarbonization of the global economy (e.g., copper in electric devices) – can lead to supply shortages and influence market prices.
Potential financial impacts for the RVS and CVS divisions of Knorr-Bremse
Policy, technological and market risks could potentially have a negative effect on the EBITDA margin through increased procurement costs.
Relevant types of climate-related risks and opportunities for the RVS and CVS divisions of Knorr-Bremse
Operations: Policy, technology and market risks (RVS and CVS divisions)
The drastically increasing carbon prices for fossil fuels and the transition to low-carbon logistics are expected to lead to increased expenses for the procurement of energy and logistics services. This effect is already noticeable in 2030 and will continue to increase through 2050.
Potential financial impacts for the RVS and CVS divisions of Knorr-Bremse
Policy, technological and market risks could potentially have a negative effect on the EBITDA margin through increased operational costs.
Relevant types of climate-related risks and opportunities for the RVS and CVS divisions of Knorr-Bremse
Customer markets: Market risks (CVS division)
In a 1.5°C scenario, measures to decarbonize the economy dampen growth forecasts for the truck business of customers compared to a scenario of “business as usual.” These measures include avoiding transports and a shift toward low-carbon modes of transportation. In consideration of 2050 in particular, this risk will more heavily materialize compared to a moderate risk in 2030.
Potential financial impacts for the RVS and CVS divisions of Knorr-Bremse
Market risks for the CVS division could have a negative effect on revenue.
Relevant types of climate-related risks and opportunities for the RVS and CVS divisions of Knorr-Bremse
Customer markets: Market opportunities (RVS division)
Independent of the scenario, growth in GDP as well as population presents an opportunity for higher demand. However, in a 1.5°C scenario, the measures to decarbonize the economy – such as the avoidance of transports and modal shift – lead to stronger growth in the rail market compared to a scenario of “business as usual.” These market opportunities are already at a high level in 2030 and will remain high through 2050.
Potential financial impacts for the RVS and CVS divisions of Knorr-Bremse
New market opportunities could increase revenue for the RVS division.
Relevant types of climate-related risks and opportunities for the RVS and CVS divisions of Knorr-Bremse
Potential financial impacts for the RVS and CVS divisions of Knorr-Bremse
In general, the physical risks become more severe over time in a 2.7°C scenario, meaning that physical risks are exacerbated by 2050 compared to 2030. However, the severity and frequency may vary locally.
Relevant types of climate-related risks and opportunities for the RVS and CVS divisions of Knorr-Bremse
Supply chain: Acute risks (RVS and CVS division)
Acute physical risks arising from extreme weather events such as flooding, tropical cyclones and droughts are the most relevant for Knorr-Bremse. The increased probability of droughts puts the production of key raw materials especially in Germany and the United States at risk. The increased probability of flooding and tropical cyclones (India, China, Japan and the United States) poses a threat of business interruption if key local suppliers are affected.
Potential financial impacts for the RVS and CVS divisions of Knorr-Bremse
Acute physical risks affecting local suppliers can have a negative effect on the EBITDA margin due to increased procurement costs.
Relevant types of climate-related risks and opportunities for the RVS and CVS divisions of Knorr-Bremse
Operations: Acute risks (RVS and CVS division)
The material physical risks within the context of Knorr-Bremse production sites are flooding (China, India, Japan and Germany) and tropical cyclones (China, United States and Mexico), which could lead to damage to assets and interruptions in operations, for example through production downtimes and power outages.
Potential financial impacts for the RVS and CVS divisions of Knorr-Bremse
Acute physical risks could lead to damage to production sites, which, in turn, could lead to production downtimes. Increased operating expenses and capital expenditure have an impact on the EBITDA margin and could cause losses in revenue.
Relevant types of climate-related risks and opportunities for the RVS and CVS divisions of Knorr-Bremse
Customer markets: Acute risks (RVS and CVS division)
Flooding and tropical cyclones could cause significant damage to the rail network, which, in turn, could lead to operational downtimes and the endangerment of demand for the products of the RVS division. The CVS division is also impacted by acute risks such as flooding and tropical cyclones, but to a lesser extent.
Potential financial impacts for the RVS and CVS divisions of Knorr-Bremse
Because the rail infrastructure is particularly vulnerable to extreme weather events, the revenue of the RVS division could be negatively impacted.
Relevant types of climate-related risks and opportunities for the RVS and CVS divisions of Knorr-Bremse
Customer markets: Acute risks (CVS division)
Droughts could represent a climate-related opportunity for the CVS division, because domestic ship transport would be replaced by truck transport in case of disruptions.
Potential financial impacts for the RVS and CVS divisions of Knorr-Bremse
By replacing inland waterways experiencing temporary droughts, the revenue of the CVS division could increase.
In addition to the qualitative scenario analysis based on the IPCC RCP 6.0 scenario, Knorr-Bremse performed further physical risk analyses in 2022. In accordance with the “do no significant harm” requirements of the EU Taxonomy Regulation, physical climate change risks were evaluated based on the IPCC RCP 8.5 scenario, which is even more pessimistic. The scenario depicts global warm of 4°C and more by the year 2100, covering the range of possible developments connected to the physical effects of climate change. The analyses show that no material financial impacts are expected at the analyzed sites by 2050, based on national data and current assessments. To ensure that the analyzed activities are not impacted by secondary or cascading effects, a climate vulnerability assessment of the most significant direct suppliers was also carried out based on existing data, with a level of detail that will be developed further for the 2023 reporting period.
Knorr-Bremse considers its climate strategy to be an essential contribution to limiting transition risks. The strategy was approved in 2019: it pursues the objective of halving Knorr-Bremse’s market-based Scope 1 and Scope 2 emissions by 2030 compared to the reference year 2018. The transformation plan is built upon three levers: CO2 and energy efficiency, generation of its own renewable energy and purchasing renewable energy.
The climate-related risks and opportunities identified from the climate scenarios were included in the Knorr-Bremse Risk Report.
Knorr-Bremse has published initial estimates of the potential financial effects of climate change as part of its 2022 CDP climate reporting.
CO2 emissions are the central key figure in managing the decarbonization of Knorr-Bremse. Knorr-Bremse accounts for the emissions in scopes according to the Greenhouse Gas Protocol Standard.
In 2022, Knorr-Bremse’s carbon footprint was as follows:
The Scope 3 emissions are made up of the categories that are relevant to Knorr-Bremse, which are Scope 3.1 Purchased Goods and Services, Scope 3.4 Upstream Transportation and Distribution, Scope 3.9 Downstream Transportation and Distribution; and Scope 3.11 Use of Sold Products as well as the categories Scope 3.3 Fuel- and Energy-Related Activities, Scope 3.6 Business Travel and Scope 3.7 Employee Commuting.
To be in line with the current status of climate science with regard to limiting global warming to no more than 1.5 °C, Knorr-Bremse has set itself the target of reducing the absolute CO2 emissions of the global locations and the fleet (Scope 1 and Scope 2) by 50% by the year 2030. This means an absolute reduction of CO2 emissions of 4.2% per year compared to the reference year 2018. By 2022, Knorr-Bremse had achieved a reduction of ~69%, primarily through the purchase of electricity from renewable energy sources as well as through increased energy efficiency.
In addition, we extended Knorr-Bremse’s climate goals to the value chain at the beginning of 2023 and set an ambitious reduction target: By 2030, we intend to reduce emissions of the upstream and downstream value chain (Scope 3) that are related to our business activities by 25% compared with the base year of 2021. We focus in particular on emissions from the Scope 3 categories 3.1 Purchased Good and Services, 3.4 Upstream Transportation and Distribution and 3.11 Use of Sold Products.